J2 League (Japan) · Sun, Oct 25 · 06:00 · Iwaki FC vs Jubilo Iwata
Likeliest: Jubilo Iwata win · 38%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Iwaki FC37%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Jubilo Iwata38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Iwaki FC
LossLossLossWinWin
- Oct 18 · v Ventforet Kofu (H)5-0
- Oct 11 · v Blaublitz Akita (H)1-0
- Oct 7 · at Sanfrecce Hiroshima (A)0-4
- Oct 4 · at Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (A)1-2
- Sep 26 · v Vegalta Sendai (H)0-2
Jubilo Iwata
LossLossLossWinDraw
- Oct 17 · at Tegevajaro Miyazaki (A)1-1
- Oct 10 · v Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (H)1-0
- Oct 4 · at Vegalta Sendai (A)1-2
- Sep 26 · v Vanraure Hachinohe (H)1-2
- Sep 19 · at Albirex Niigata (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Iwaki FC | Jubilo Iwata |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-6 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-2 | 2-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.