Challenger Pro League (Belgium) · Sat, Oct 24 · 14:00 · Jong KRC Genk U23 vs Club NXT U23
Likeliest: Jong KRC Genk U23 win · 45%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Jong KRC Genk U2345%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Club NXT U2331%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Jong KRC Genk U23
WinWinLossDrawLoss
- Oct 11 · at Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (A)0-1
- Sep 19 · v RFC Seraing (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at Royal Excelsior Virton (A)0-3
- Sep 5 · v Koninklijke Sporting Hasselt (H)3-0
- Aug 28 · at KSC Lokeren-Temse (A)4-2
Club NXT U23
WinLossDrawDrawLoss
- Oct 9 · at FCV Dender (A)0-3
- Sep 18 · v KAA Gent Reserve U23 (H)2-2
- Sep 13 · at RFC Liège (A)4-4
- Sep 5 · v KAS Eupen (H)0-1
- Aug 29 · at Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Jong KRC Genk U23 | Club NXT U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.