Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Mar 9 · 19:45 · Juventus vs Atalanta
Likeliest: Juventus win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Juventus44%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Atalanta29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Juventus
WinWinWinWinWin
- Mar 3 · v Hellas Verona (H)2-0
- Feb 23 · at Cagliari (A)1-0
- Feb 16 · v Inter (H)1-0
- Feb 11 · v PSV (H)2-1
- Feb 7 · at Como (A)2-1
Atalanta
LossDrawLossWinDraw
- Mar 1 · v Venezia (H)0-0
- Feb 23 · at Empoli (A)5-0
- Feb 18 · v Club Brugge (H)1-3
- Feb 15 · v Cagliari (H)0-0
- Feb 12 · at Club Brugge (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Juventus | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 3-4-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-1 | 3-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.