UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Sat, Aug 8 · 19:00 · Juventus vs Hammarby
Likeliest: Juventus win · 54%
A 54% home win. The market says 46%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Juventus54%46%+8
OursMarket
Draw23%25%−2
OursMarket
Hammarby23%29%−6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 71% | +6 |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | 54% | −8 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 75% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 61% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Juventus
Win
- Aug 5 · v SCU Torreense (H)2-1
Hammarby
Win
- Aug 5 · v Fk Apolonia Fier (H)4-0