Serie A (Italy) · Mon, Mar 3 · 19:45 · Juventus vs Hellas Verona
Likeliest: Juventus win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Juventus56%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Hellas Verona19%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 75% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Juventus
WinWinWinWinWin
- Feb 23 · at Cagliari (A)1-0
- Feb 16 · v Inter (H)1-0
- Feb 11 · v PSV (H)2-1
- Feb 7 · at Como (A)2-1
- Feb 2 · v Empoli (H)4-1
Hellas Verona
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Feb 23 · v Fiorentina (H)1-0
- Feb 15 · at Milan (A)0-1
- Feb 8 · v Atalanta (H)0-5
- Feb 1 · at Monza (A)1-0
- Jan 27 · at Venezia (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Juventus | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 2-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 13% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 38% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.