Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 16 · 19:45 · Juventus vs Inter
Likeliest: Juventus win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Juventus47%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Inter29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Juventus
LossLossWinWinWin
- Feb 11 · v PSV (H)2-1
- Feb 7 · at Como (A)2-1
- Feb 2 · v Empoli (H)4-1
- Jan 29 · v Benfica (H)0-2
- Jan 25 · at Napoli (A)1-2
Inter
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Feb 10 · v Fiorentina (H)2-1
- Feb 6 · at Fiorentina (A)0-3
- Feb 2 · at Milan (A)1-1
- Jan 29 · v Monaco (H)3-0
- Jan 26 · at Lecce (A)4-0
| Last 10 games | Juventus | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-2 | 6-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 44% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 44% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.