UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Wed, Sep 2 · 18:30 · Juventus vs SKN St. Pölten
Likeliest: Juventus win · 65%
A 20% draw. The market says 9%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Juventus65%86%−21
OursMarket
Draw20%9%+11
OursMarket
SKN St. Pölten15%5%+10
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 73% | −22 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 42% | +7 |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | 95% | −10 |
| Double chance X2 | 35% | 14% | +21 |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | 91% | −11 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 81% | 94% | −14 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Juventus
WinDrawWin
- Aug 26 · at SKN St. Pölten (A)3-0
- Aug 8 · v Hammarby (H)1-1
- Aug 5 · v SCU Torreense (H)2-1
SKN St. Pölten
WinDrawLoss
- Aug 26 · v Juventus (H)0-3
- Aug 8 · v Sporting CP (H)0-0
- Aug 5 · v Young Boys (H)4-3