Premier Division (South Africa) · Sun, Sep 6 · 15:30 · Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele FC
Likeliest: Kaizer Chiefs win · 51%
We make it 56% for both teams to score. The market says 39%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Kaizer Chiefs51%52%−1
OursMarket
Draw24%29%−5
OursMarket
Siwelele FC25%19%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 38% | +14 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 39% | +17 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 81% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 48% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 71% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 73% | −6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Kaizer Chiefs
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Aug 26 · at Richards Bay FC (A)2-2
- Aug 15 · v Mamelodi Sundowns (H)1-1
- Aug 12 · v Sekhukhune United (H)2-0
- Aug 1 · at Kruger United (A)3-1
- May 23 · v Chippa United (H)0-1
Siwelele FC
DrawDrawLossLossDraw
- Aug 25 · v Chippa United (H)1-1
- Aug 15 · at AmaZulu FC (A)0-2
- Aug 12 · at Milford FC (A)0-1
- Aug 2 · v TS Galaxy (H)2-2
- May 23 · at Sekhukhune United (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Kaizer Chiefs | Siwelele FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-1-3 | 0-6-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.