J2 League (Japan) · Sun, Oct 25 · 05:00 · Kataller Toyama vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Likeliest: Kataller Toyama win · 63%
Likely score: 2–0
A tight one: we make it 63% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Kataller Toyama63%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo14%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Kataller Toyama
WinDrawWinDrawDraw
- Oct 17 · v Shonan Bellmare (H)1-1
- Oct 11 · v Tegevajaro Miyazaki (H)1-1
- Oct 3 · at Ventforet Kofu (A)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Yokohama FC (H)0-0
- Sep 19 · at Montedio Yamagata (A)2-0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
DrawLossWinLossWin
- Oct 17 · v Blaublitz Akita (H)1-0
- Oct 10 · at Jubilo Iwata (A)0-1
- Oct 4 · v Iwaki FC (H)2-1
- Sep 26 · at Tegevajaro Miyazaki (A)2-3
- Sep 19 · v Oita Trinita (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Kataller Toyama | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-4-1 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-1 | 0-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.