Botola Pro (Morocco) · Sat, Oct 10 · 17:00 · Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
Likeliest: Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech win · 41%
We make it 38% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 31%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech41%43%−2
OursMarket
Draw35%32%+3
OursMarket
Ittihad Tanger24%26%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 31% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 44% | 41% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 74% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 57% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 65% | 68% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech
DrawDrawDrawLossWin
- Oct 3 · at CODM Meknès (A)1-0
- Sep 27 · v Hassania d'Agadir (H)2-3
- Jul 5 · at Hassania d'Agadir (A)1-1
- Jul 2 · v MAS de Fès (H)0-0
- Jun 28 · at Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi (A)1-1
Ittihad Tanger
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Oct 2 · v Moghreb Atlético Tetuán (H)1-1
- Sep 24 · at Union Sportive Amal Tiznit (A)3-1
- Jul 5 · v CODM Meknès (H)2-1
- Jul 2 · at Union Touarga Sport (A)0-1
- Jul 2 · at UTS Rabat (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech | Ittihad Tanger |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-2 | 4-0-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.