Indian Super League (India) · Sun, Oct 25 · 14:00 · Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City FC
Likeliest: Kerala Blasters win · 37%
A 37% home win. The market says 31%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Kerala Blasters37%31%+6
OursMarket
Draw29%27%+1
OursMarket
Mumbai City FC34%41%−7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Both teams score | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 59% | +7 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 69% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 43% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Kerala Blasters
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 18 · at NorthEast United (A)1-4
- Oct 11 · at Inter Kashi FC (A)2-0
- May 18 · v Goa (H)2-1
- May 10 · v Mohammedan (H)3-1
- Apr 23 · v Odisha FC (H)2-1
Mumbai City FC
LossDraw
- Oct 19 · at Punjab FC (A)1-1
- Oct 11 · at Churchill Brothers SC (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Kerala Blasters | Mumbai City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — |
| Both teams scored | 70% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-4 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.