Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Oct 25 · 14:30 · KFC Komárno vs AS Trenčín
Likeliest: KFC Komárno win · 50%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. The market says 49%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
KFC Komárno50%49%+1
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
AS Trenčín26%27%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 63% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 51% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | 65% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
KFC Komárno
DrawDrawLossDrawLoss
- Oct 17 · v MFK Ružomberok (H)0-1
- Oct 10 · at FC Košice (A)1-1
- Sep 19 · v ŠK Slovan Bratislava (H)1-2
- Sep 13 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)1-1
- Sep 5 · v MFK Skalica (H)0-0
AS Trenčín
LossLossLossWinWin
- Oct 17 · at MFK Skalica (A)2-0
- Oct 14 · at FC Lokomotíva Košice (A)1-0
- Oct 10 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)0-1
- Sep 19 · at MŠK Žilina (A)1-2
- Sep 12 · v DAC 1904 (H)1-4
| Last 10 games | KFC Komárno | AS Trenčín |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-5-5 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-1-4 | 2-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.