3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Mon, Oct 19 · 17:00 · KFUM Oslo II vs Frigg
Likeliest: KFUM Oslo II win · 37%
A 28% draw. The market says 21%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
KFUM Oslo II37%47%−10
OursMarket
Draw28%21%+7
OursMarket
Frigg35%32%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 68% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 53% | +10 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 79% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 60% | −9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
KFUM Oslo II
LossWinDrawLossDraw
- Oct 13 · at Heming (A)2-2
- Oct 3 · v Ullern (H)1-3
- Sep 29 · at FK Union Carl Berner (A)1-1
- Sep 26 · at Konnerud IL (A)1-0
- Sep 21 · v Ready (H)2-5
Frigg
WinLossDrawLossLoss
- Oct 14 · at Asker (A)2-3
- Oct 10 · at Vålerenga IF II (A)1-4
- Oct 3 · v Gamle Oslo FK (H)1-1
- Sep 26 · at FK Union Carl Berner (A)2-6
- Sep 19 · v Konnerud IL (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | KFUM Oslo II | Frigg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-3 | 1-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.