Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Wed, Oct 14 · 13:30 · Kheybar Khorramabad FC vs Persepolis FC
Likeliest: Persepolis FC win · 44%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 44% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Kheybar Khorramabad FC27%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Persepolis FC44%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 38% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Kheybar Khorramabad FC
LossDrawWinLossDraw
- Oct 9 · at Chador Malu Yazd (A)2-2
- Sep 7 · at Nassaji Mazandaran FC (A)0-1
- Sep 2 · v Foolad Khuzestan (H)2-0
- Aug 28 · at Aluminium Arak (A)2-2
- Aug 24 · v Paykan (H)2-3
Persepolis FC
LossWinDrawWinWin
- Oct 9 · v Sanat Naft Abadan (H)3-1
- Sep 7 · v Zob Ahan (H)2-0
- Sep 2 · at Esteghlal FC (A)1-1
- Aug 29 · v Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (H)3-0
- Aug 24 · at Tractor FC (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Kheybar Khorramabad FC | Persepolis FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.