3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sun, Oct 11 · 11:00 · Kongsvinger 2 vs Bossekop
Likeliest: Kongsvinger 2 win · 47%
A 29% away win. The market says 13%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Kongsvinger 247%71%−25
OursMarket
Draw24%15%+9
OursMarket
Bossekop29%13%+15
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 83% | −14 |
| Both teams score | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 87% | −15 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 29% | +25 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 85% | −9 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 84% | −22 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Kongsvinger 2
LossLossLossWinWin
- Oct 6 · at Skjetten (A)4-3
- Sep 27 · v Harstad IL (H)2-1
- Sep 21 · at Tromsø IL II (A)0-6
- Sep 13 · v Fløya (H)1-5
- Sep 6 · at Skjervøy (A)1-3
Bossekop
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 3 · at Fløya (A)1-5
- Sep 27 · v Skjetten (H)0-3
- Sep 19 · at IL Ulfstind (A)4-3
- Sep 13 · v Skjervøy (H)1-1
- Sep 6 · at Lillestrøm SK 2 (A)0-11
| Last 10 games | Kongsvinger 2 | Bossekop |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-6 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-3 | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.