Premier League (Ukraine) · Sat, Oct 17 · 12:30 · Kudrivka vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Likeliest: Bukovyna Chernivtsi win · 64%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 64% for the away win. The market says 61%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Kudrivka11%16%−4
OursMarket
Draw24%24%+1
OursMarket
Bukovyna Chernivtsi64%61%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 48% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | 52% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 36% | 39% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 89% | 84% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 15% | 21% | −6 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Kudrivka
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 11 · at LNZ Cherkasy (A)1-2
- Oct 3 · at Veres Rivne (A)1-2
- Sep 20 · v Kolos Kovalivka (H)2-3
- Sep 4 · at Polissya Zhytomyr (A)1-5
- Aug 29 · v FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi (H)0-3
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
WinDrawDrawLossDraw
- Oct 11 · v Polissya Zhytomyr (H)2-2
- Sep 19 · at Metalist 1925 (A)0-2
- Sep 13 · v Zoria Luhansk (H)1-1
- Sep 6 · at FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi (A)0-0
- Aug 31 · v Dynamo Kyiv (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | Kudrivka | Bukovyna Chernivtsi |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-4-6 | 1-5-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-5 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.