Pro League (Belgium) · Sat, Aug 29 · 16:15 · KV Kortrijk vs RC Sporting Charleroi
Likeliest: KV Kortrijk win · 44%
A 44% home win. The market says 26%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
KV Kortrijk44%26%+18
OursMarket
Draw27%27%0
OursMarket
RC Sporting Charleroi29%47%−19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 53% | −5 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 56% | −4 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 53% | +19 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 74% | −18 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 73% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 35% | +25 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
KV Kortrijk
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Aug 15 · v Royal Antwerp FC (H)0-3
- Aug 7 · at Club Brugge KV (A)0-3
- Apr 17 · v RWDM Brussels (H)3-1
- Apr 11 · at SK Beveren (A)0-1
- Apr 3 · v Jong Gent (H)2-0
RC Sporting Charleroi
WinWinWin
- Aug 22 · v KV Mechelen (H)2-0
- Aug 16 · at Lommel SK (A)1-0
- Aug 9 · v Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | KV Kortrijk | RC Sporting Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 9-0-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.