Pro League (Belgium) · Sun, Sep 20 · 17:15 · KV Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
Likeliest: SK Beveren win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the away win. The market says 37%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
KV Kortrijk34%36%−2
OursMarket
Draw29%27%+2
OursMarket
SK Beveren37%37%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 55% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | 64% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 73% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 48% | 49% | −1 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
KV Kortrijk
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Sep 13 · at RAAL La Louvière (A)0-3
- Sep 6 · v SV Zulte Waregem (H)0-2
- Sep 3 · at RSC Anderlecht (A)0-1
- Aug 29 · v RC Sporting Charleroi (H)1-3
- Aug 15 · v Royal Antwerp FC (H)0-3
SK Beveren
WinLossLossWinWin
- Sep 12 · v Sint-Truidense VV (H)2-0
- Sep 6 · v Oud-Heverlee Leuven (H)3-0
- Aug 28 · at KRC Genk (A)0-4
- Aug 22 · at SV Zulte Waregem (A)0-4
- Aug 16 · v RSC Anderlecht (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | KV Kortrijk | SK Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-8 | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-0-3 | 6-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.