Superettan (Sweden) · Sat, Oct 10 · 11:00 · Landskrona vs Sandvikens IF
Likeliest: Landskrona win · 48%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Landskrona48%48%0
OursMarket
Draw25%24%+1
OursMarket
Sandvikens IF28%28%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 58% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 72% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 52% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | 63% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Landskrona
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Sep 19 · at United IK Nordic (A)4-1
- Sep 15 · v GIF Sundsvall (H)4-0
- Sep 9 · v Helsingborg (H)1-2
- Sep 5 · at Norrby IF (A)3-1
- Aug 29 · v Östersunds FK (H)1-1
Sandvikens IF
DrawWinLossDrawWin
- Sep 19 · v Örebro (H)4-2
- Sep 15 · at IK Brage (A)1-1
- Sep 9 · v IK Oddevold (H)0-1
- Sep 5 · at Helsingborg (A)2-0
- Aug 30 · v Östers IF (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Landskrona | Sandvikens IF |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-2 | 4-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.