Superettan (Sweden) · Sun, Oct 25 · 10:00 · Landskrona vs Varbergs BoIS
Likeliest: Landskrona win · 47%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Landskrona47%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Varbergs BoIS29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Landskrona
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at Falkenbergs FF (A)3-4
- Oct 10 · v Sandvikens IF (H)3-2
- Sep 19 · at United IK Nordic (A)4-1
- Sep 15 · v GIF Sundsvall (H)4-0
- Sep 9 · v Helsingborg (H)1-2
Varbergs BoIS
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Oct 19 · v Helsingborg (H)0-0
- Oct 10 · at Östersunds FK (A)1-1
- Sep 19 · v IK Brage (H)3-2
- Sep 14 · at Norrby IF (A)2-1
- Sep 10 · v Norrköping (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Landskrona | Varbergs BoIS |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-2 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.