Ligue 2 (France) · Fri, Apr 10 · 18:00 · Laval vs Reims
Likeliest: Laval win · 36%
A 36% home win. The market says 21%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Laval36%21%+15
OursMarket
Draw30%26%+3
OursMarket
Reims34%52%−18
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 49% | −9 |
| Both teams score | 42% | 50% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 48% | +18 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 79% | −15 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 74% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 29% | +22 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Laval
DrawDrawLossWinDraw
- Apr 3 · at Red Star (A)0-0
- Mar 20 · v Grenoble Foot 38 (H)3-2
- Mar 13 · at Montpellier (A)0-2
- Mar 6 · v Guingamp (H)2-2
- Feb 27 · v Nancy (H)1-1
Reims
LossDrawLossWinDraw
- Apr 4 · v Boulogne (H)0-0
- Mar 21 · at Guingamp (A)2-0
- Mar 14 · v Rodez (H)1-2
- Mar 9 · at Dunkerque (A)1-1
- Mar 3 · at Strasbourg (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Laval | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-5-4 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 70% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.