Serie A (Italy) · Mon, Nov 3 · 19:45 · Lazio vs Cagliari
Likeliest: Lazio win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lazio57%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Cagliari22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lazio
WinDrawDrawWinDraw
- Oct 30 · at Pisa (A)0-0
- Oct 26 · v Juventus (H)1-0
- Oct 19 · at Atalanta (A)0-0
- Oct 5 · v Torino (H)3-3
- Sep 29 · at Genoa (A)3-0
Cagliari
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Oct 30 · v Sassuolo (H)1-2
- Oct 26 · at Hellas Verona (A)2-2
- Oct 19 · v Bologna (H)0-2
- Oct 5 · at Udinese (A)1-1
- Sep 27 · v Inter (H)0-2
| Last 10 games | Lazio | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 10% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-6-2 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.