Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Jan 26 · 19:45 · Lazio vs Fiorentina
Likeliest: Lazio win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lazio45%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Fiorentina27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lazio
LossDrawWinWin
- Jan 23 · v Real Sociedad (H)3-1
- Jan 19 · at Hellas Verona (A)3-0
- Jan 10 · v Como (H)1-1
- Jan 5 · at Roma (A)0-2
Fiorentina
LossLossDraw
- Jan 19 · v Torino (H)1-1
- Jan 13 · at Monza (A)1-2
- Jan 4 · v Napoli (H)0-3