Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 9 · 14:00 · Lazio vs Monza
Likeliest: Lazio win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lazio55%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Monza20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lazio
WinWinLossLossWin
- Feb 3 · at Cagliari (A)2-1
- Jan 30 · at Sporting Braga (A)0-1
- Jan 26 · v Fiorentina (H)1-2
- Jan 23 · v Real Sociedad (H)3-1
- Jan 19 · at Hellas Verona (A)3-0
Monza
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Feb 1 · v Hellas Verona (H)0-1
- Jan 27 · at Genoa (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · at Bologna (A)1-3
- Jan 13 · v Fiorentina (H)2-1
- Jan 5 · v Cagliari (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Lazio | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-3 | 1-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.