Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Jan 26 · 14:00 · Le Havre vs Brest
Likeliest: Le Havre win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Le Havre43%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Brest30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Le Havre
LossLossDraw
- Jan 19 · at Reims (A)1-1
- Jan 12 · v Lens (H)1-2
- Jan 5 · at Olympique Marseille (A)1-5
Brest
LossWinWinWinLoss
- Jan 22 · at Shakhtar Donetsk (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · at Rennes (A)2-1
- Jan 15 · v Nantes (H)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)2-1
- Jan 5 · at Angers SCO (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Le Havre | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 60% |
| Both teams scored | — | 60% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.