Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 18:00 · Le Havre vs Brest
Likeliest: Le Havre win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Le Havre41%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Brest32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Le Havre
DrawDrawDrawLossWin
- Oct 26 · at Auxerre (A)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Olympique Marseille (A)2-6
- Oct 5 · v Rennes (H)2-2
- Sep 28 · at Metz (A)0-0
- Sep 21 · v Lorient (H)1-1
Brest
WinWinDrawDrawLoss
- Oct 25 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-3
- Oct 19 · at Lorient (A)3-3
- Oct 4 · v Nantes (H)0-0
- Sep 28 · at Angers SCO (A)2-0
- Sep 20 · v Nice (H)4-1
| Last 10 games | Le Havre | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.