Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Nov 8 · 18:00 · Le Havre vs Nantes
Likeliest: Nantes win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Le Havre34%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Nantes40%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Le Havre
DrawLossWinWinDraw
- Nov 2 · at Toulouse (A)0-0
- Oct 29 · v Brest (H)1-0
- Oct 26 · at Auxerre (A)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Olympique Marseille (A)2-6
- Oct 5 · v Rennes (H)2-2
Nantes
DrawLossWinLossLoss
- Nov 2 · v Metz (H)0-2
- Oct 29 · v Monaco (H)3-5
- Oct 24 · at Paris (A)2-1
- Oct 19 · v LOSC Lille (H)0-2
- Oct 4 · at Brest (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Le Havre | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.