Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Feb 23 · 16:15 · Le Havre vs Toulouse
Likeliest: Le Havre win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Le Havre44%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Toulouse31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Le Havre
DrawLossDrawWinLoss
- Feb 16 · v Nice (H)1-3
- Feb 8 · at LOSC Lille (A)2-1
- Feb 2 · at Angers SCO (A)1-1
- Jan 26 · v Brest (H)0-1
- Jan 19 · at Reims (A)1-1
Toulouse
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Feb 15 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-1
- Feb 9 · at Auxerre (A)2-2
- Feb 5 · v Guingamp (H)0-2
- Feb 2 · v Nice (H)1-1
- Jan 26 · v Montpellier (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Le Havre | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-4 | 2-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 22% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.