Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 9 · 17:00 · Lecce vs Bologna
Likeliest: Bologna win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lecce29%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Bologna44%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 40% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lecce
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Jan 31 · at Parma (A)3-1
- Jan 26 · v Inter (H)0-4
- Jan 19 · at Cagliari (A)1-4
- Jan 11 · at Empoli (A)3-1
- Jan 5 · v Genoa (H)0-0
Bologna
WinDrawDrawWinWin
- Feb 4 · at Atalanta (A)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Como (H)2-0
- Jan 29 · at Sporting CP (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · at Empoli (A)1-1
- Jan 21 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Lecce | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-2 | 4-4-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.