Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Nov 8 · 14:00 · Lecce vs Hellas Verona
Likeliest: Lecce win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lecce47%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Hellas Verona25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lecce
WinDrawLossLossWin
- Nov 2 · at Fiorentina (A)1-0
- Oct 28 · v Napoli (H)0-1
- Oct 25 · at Udinese (A)2-3
- Oct 18 · v Sassuolo (H)0-0
- Oct 4 · at Parma (A)1-0
Hellas Verona
LossDrawDrawLossLoss
- Nov 2 · v Inter (H)1-2
- Oct 29 · at Como (A)1-3
- Oct 26 · v Cagliari (H)2-2
- Oct 18 · at Pisa (A)0-0
- Oct 3 · v Sassuolo (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Lecce | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 0-5-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-5 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.