Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 14 · 15:00 · Leicester City vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Leicester City win · 45%
A 31% away win. The market says 25%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Leicester City45%47%−3
OursMarket
Draw25%27%−2
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers31%25%+5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 75% | −5 |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | 53% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 73% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | 65% | −6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Leicester City
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Mar 10 · v Bristol City (H)2-0
- Mar 7 · at Ipswich Town (A)1-1
- Feb 28 · v Norwich City (H)0-2
- Feb 24 · at Middlesbrough (A)1-1
- Feb 21 · at Stoke City (A)2-2
Queens Park Rangers
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Mar 11 · at Birmingham City (A)0-1
- Mar 8 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-4
- Feb 28 · v Sheffield United (H)0-2
- Feb 24 · at Southampton (A)0-5
- Feb 21 · at Hull City (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Leicester City | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-3-6 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-6 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Leicester City form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record