Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Mar 1 · 18:00 · Lens vs Le Havre
Likeliest: Lens win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lens49%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Le Havre28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lens
WinWinLossLossLoss
- Feb 23 · at Nantes (A)1-3
- Feb 16 · v Strasbourg (H)0-2
- Feb 8 · at Nice (A)0-2
- Jan 31 · at Montpellier (A)2-0
- Jan 26 · v Angers SCO (H)1-0
Le Havre
LossDrawWinLossLoss
- Feb 23 · v Toulouse (H)1-4
- Feb 16 · v Nice (H)1-3
- Feb 8 · at LOSC Lille (A)2-1
- Feb 2 · at Angers SCO (A)1-1
- Jan 26 · v Brest (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Lens | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-5 | 1-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 88% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.