Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Nov 2 · 16:15 · Lens vs Lorient
Likeliest: Lens win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lens44%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Lorient26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lens
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Oct 29 · at Metz (A)0-2
- Oct 25 · v Olympique Marseille (H)2-1
- Oct 19 · v Paris (H)2-1
- Oct 4 · at Auxerre (A)2-1
- Sep 28 · at Rennes (A)0-0
Lorient
WinLossDrawLossDraw
- Oct 29 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-1
- Oct 26 · at Angers SCO (A)0-2
- Oct 19 · v Brest (H)3-3
- Oct 3 · at Paris (A)0-2
- Sep 27 · v Monaco (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Lens | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-3 | 2-3-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-0-3 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.