Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Mar 15 · 20:05 · Lens vs Rennes
Likeliest: Lens win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lens46%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Rennes30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lens
LossLossLossLossWin
- Mar 8 · at Olympique Marseille (A)1-0
- Mar 1 · v Le Havre (H)3-4
- Feb 23 · at Nantes (A)1-3
- Feb 16 · v Strasbourg (H)0-2
- Feb 8 · at Nice (A)0-2
Rennes
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Mar 8 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-4
- Mar 2 · at Montpellier (A)4-0
- Feb 21 · v Reims (H)1-0
- Feb 16 · v LOSC Lille (H)0-2
- Feb 8 · at Saint-Étienne (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Lens | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-6 | 4-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-0-4 | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.