Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Feb 16 · 16:15 · Lens vs Strasbourg
Likeliest: Lens win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lens40%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Strasbourg37%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lens
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 8 · at Nice (A)0-2
- Jan 31 · at Montpellier (A)2-0
- Jan 26 · v Angers SCO (H)1-0
- Jan 18 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-2
- Jan 12 · at Le Havre (A)2-1
Strasbourg
DrawWinLossLossWin
- Feb 9 · v Montpellier (H)2-0
- Feb 5 · v Angers SCO (H)1-3
- Feb 2 · at Rennes (A)0-1
- Jan 25 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-1
- Jan 19 · at Olympique Marseille (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Lens | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-3 | 4-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.