La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Aug 29 · 15:00 · Levante UD vs Real Betis
Likeliest: Levante UD win · 48%
We make it 62% for both teams to score. The market says 53%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Levante UD48%28%+20
OursMarket
Draw24%28%−4
OursMarket
Real Betis28%44%−16
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 49% | −2 |
| Both teams score | 62% | 53% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 56% | +16 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 72% | −20 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 72% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 39% | +24 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Levante UD
WinWinLossLossDraw
- Aug 24 · at Osasuna (A)0-0
- Aug 16 · at Espanyol (A)0-3
- May 23 · at Real Betis (A)1-2
- May 17 · v Mallorca (H)2-0
- May 12 · at Celta de Vigo (A)3-2
Real Betis
WinLossWinWinWin
- Aug 25 · at Valencia (A)1-0
- Aug 21 · v Real Sociedad (H)1-0
- May 23 · v Levante (H)2-1
- May 17 · at FC Barcelona (A)1-3
- May 12 · v Elche (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Levante UD | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.