La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Nov 2 · 13:00 · Levante vs Celta de Vigo
Likeliest: Levante win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Levante51%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Celta de Vigo24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Levante
DrawWinLossDrawWin
- Oct 30 · at Orihuela (A)4-3
- Oct 26 · at Mallorca (A)1-1
- Oct 19 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)0-3
- Oct 4 · at Real Oviedo (A)2-0
- Sep 27 · at Getafe (A)1-1
Celta de Vigo
DrawDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 30 · at Puerto de Vega (A)2-0
- Oct 26 · at Osasuna (A)3-2
- Oct 23 · v Nice (H)2-1
- Oct 19 · v Real Sociedad (H)1-1
- Oct 5 · v Atlético Madrid (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Levante | Celta de Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.