3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 · Lillestrøm SK 2 vs Fløya
Likeliest: Lillestrøm SK 2 win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lillestrøm SK 239%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Fløya33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lillestrøm SK 2
LossLossDrawLossWin
- Oct 18 · at IL Ulfstind (A)5-0
- Oct 11 · at Tromsø IL II (A)0-2
- Oct 4 · v Strømsgodset II (H)3-3
- Sep 27 · at Alta IF (A)2-6
- Sep 20 · v FK Fauske/Sprint (H)2-4
Fløya
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 18 · v Tromsø IL II (H)3-0
- Oct 10 · at Skedsmo (A)3-1
- Oct 3 · v Bossekop (H)5-1
- Sep 27 · at Strømsgodset II (A)4-2
- Sep 20 · v Finnsnes IL (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Lillestrøm SK 2 | Fløya |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 7-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-3 | 4-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.