3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sun, Oct 4 · 11:00 · Lillestrøm SK 2 vs Strømsgodset II
Likeliest: Lillestrøm SK 2 win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lillestrøm SK 255%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Strømsgodset II20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 74% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lillestrøm SK 2
WinWinLossLossLoss
- Sep 27 · at Alta IF (A)2-6
- Sep 20 · v FK Fauske/Sprint (H)2-4
- Sep 14 · at Skedsmo (A)1-2
- Sep 6 · v Bossekop (H)11-0
- Aug 30 · at Finnsnes IL (A)1-0
Strømsgodset II
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Sep 27 · v Fløya (H)2-4
- Sep 21 · at Alta IF (A)0-2
- Sep 14 · at FK Fauske/Sprint (A)3-5
- Sep 6 · v Finnsnes IL (H)5-1
- Aug 31 · at Bossekop (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Lillestrøm SK 2 | Strømsgodset II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-7 | 2-0-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.