Women's Super League (England) · Sun, Sep 27 · 13:00 · Liverpool FC vs Everton
Likeliest: Liverpool FC win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. The market says 52%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Liverpool FC52%52%0
OursMarket
Draw29%27%+1
OursMarket
Everton20%21%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 45% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 46% | 46% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 71% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Liverpool FC
WinDrawLoss
- Sep 18 · at Manchester City (A)2-4
- Sep 13 · v Tottenham FC (H)1-1
- Sep 6 · at Charlton Athletic WFC (A)4-0
Everton
LossWinWin
- Sep 20 · at West Ham United (A)1-0
- Sep 13 · v Charlton Athletic WFC (H)1-0
- Sep 6 · at Crystal Palace (A)0-1