Women's Super League (England) · Sun, Sep 13 · 13:00 · Liverpool FC vs Tottenham FC
Likeliest: Liverpool FC win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. The market says 39%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Liverpool FC37%39%−2
OursMarket
Draw28%27%+1
OursMarket
Tottenham FC35%34%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 57% | 56% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 66% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 61% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.9 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Liverpool FC
Win
- Sep 6 · at Charlton Athletic WFC (A)4-0
Tottenham FC
Win
- Sep 6 · v West Ham United (H)3-1