EFL Cup (England) · Wed, Oct 29 · 19:45 · Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Likeliest: Liverpool win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Liverpool52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Crystal Palace24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Liverpool
LossWinWinLossWin
- Oct 26 · v Atlético Progreso (H)3-1
- Oct 25 · at Brentford (A)2-3
- Oct 22 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)5-1
- Oct 20 · at Plaza Colonia (A)1-0
- Oct 19 · v Manchester United (H)1-2
Crystal Palace
WinLossDrawLossLoss
- Oct 26 · at Arsenal (A)0-1
- Oct 23 · v AEK Larnaca (H)0-1
- Oct 18 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)3-3
- Oct 5 · at Everton (A)1-2
- Oct 2 · at Dynamo Kyiv (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Liverpool | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.