Premier League (England) · Sat, Jan 25 · 15:00 · Liverpool vs Ipswich Town
Likeliest: Liverpool win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Liverpool49%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Ipswich Town29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Liverpool
LossWinDrawWinWin
- Jan 21 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · at Brentford (A)2-0
- Jan 14 · at Nottingham Forest (A)1-1
- Jan 11 · v Accrington Stanley (H)4-0
- Jan 8 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)0-1
Ipswich Town
DrawWinLossLoss
- Jan 19 · v Manchester City (H)0-6
- Jan 16 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)0-2
- Jan 12 · v Bristol Rovers (H)3-0
- Jan 5 · at Fulham (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Liverpool | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-1 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — |
| Clean sheets | 33% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.