Premier League (England) · Sun, Jan 5 · 16:30 · Liverpool vs Manchester United
Likeliest: Liverpool win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Liverpool45%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Manchester United31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.