EFL Cup (England) · Thu, Feb 6 · 20:00 · Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur
Likeliest: Liverpool win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Liverpool41%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Tottenham Hotspur34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Liverpool
WinWinLossWinDraw
- Feb 1 · at Danubio (A)1-1
- Feb 1 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)2-0
- Jan 29 · at PSV (A)2-3
- Jan 25 · v Ipswich Town (H)4-1
- Jan 21 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
LossWinLossWinWin
- Feb 2 · at Brentford (A)2-0
- Jan 30 · v Elfsborg (H)3-0
- Jan 26 · v Leicester City (H)1-2
- Jan 23 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)3-2
- Jan 19 · at Everton (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | Liverpool | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 4-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 38% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.