Premier League (Ukraine) · Sun, Aug 30 · 12:30 · LNZ Cherkasy vs Veres Rivne
Likeliest: LNZ Cherkasy win · 61%
We make it 58% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 41%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
LNZ Cherkasy61%68%−6
OursMarket
Draw20%22%−2
OursMarket
Veres Rivne18%10%+8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 41% | +17 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 31% | +22 |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | 90% | −8 |
| Double chance X2 | 39% | 32% | +6 |
| Double chance 12 | 80% | 78% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | 87% | −10 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
LNZ Cherkasy
DrawDrawDrawLossWin
- Aug 16 · v Chornomorets Odesa (H)2-0
- Aug 10 · at Karpaty Lviv (A)0-3
- Aug 3 · at Bukovyna Chernivtsi (A)0-0
- Jul 30 · at KAA Gent (A)0-0
- Jul 23 · v KAA Gent (H)0-0
Veres Rivne
LossLossLossDraw
- Aug 14 · at FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi (A)0-0
- Aug 9 · v Dynamo Kyiv (H)1-2
- Aug 1 · at Metalist 1925 (A)0-1
- May 24 · v Metalist 1925 (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | LNZ Cherkasy | Veres Rivne |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.4 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | — |
| Both teams scored | 0% | — |
| Clean sheets | 80% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.