3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Sun, Oct 18 · 14:00 · Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ready
Likeliest: Lokomotiv Oslo win · 41%
We make it 41% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 23%.
17 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Lokomotiv Oslo41%36%+5
OursMarket
Draw26%23%+3
OursMarket
Ready33%41%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 77% | −17 |
| Both teams score | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | 59% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 64% | −5 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 77% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | 47% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lokomotiv Oslo
WinLossWinLossWin
- Oct 10 · v Konnerud IL (H)3-2
- Oct 3 · at FK Union Carl Berner (A)1-4
- Sep 26 · v Gamle Oslo FK (H)4-1
- Sep 19 · at Nordstrand (A)0-5
- Sep 13 · v Bærum SK (H)5-2
Ready
WinWinLossWinWin
- Oct 10 · v FK Union Carl Berner (H)4-0
- Oct 4 · at Bærum SK (A)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Grei (H)2-3
- Sep 21 · at KFUM Oslo II (A)5-2
- Sep 12 · v Ullern (H)4-3
| Last 10 games | Lokomotiv Oslo | Ready |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-1 | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.