Ligue 2 (France) · Sat, Jan 11 · 19:00 · Lorient vs Metz
Likeliest: Lorient win · 55%
A tight one: we make it 55% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lorient55%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Metz20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lorient
Loss
- Jan 4 · at Laval (A)0-2
Metz
Draw
- Jan 4 · v Pau (H)0-0