Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 18:00 · Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain
Likeliest: Paris Saint Germain win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lorient28%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Paris Saint Germain48%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 36% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lorient
DrawWinLossDrawLoss
- Oct 26 · at Angers SCO (A)0-2
- Oct 19 · v Brest (H)3-3
- Oct 3 · at Paris (A)0-2
- Sep 27 · v Monaco (H)3-1
- Sep 21 · at Le Havre (A)1-1
Paris Saint Germain
WinDrawDrawWinWin
- Oct 25 · at Brest (A)3-0
- Oct 21 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)7-2
- Oct 17 · v Strasbourg (H)3-3
- Oct 5 · at LOSC Lille (A)1-1
- Oct 1 · at FC Barcelona (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Lorient | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-1-2 | 7-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.