Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Nov 9 · 14:00 · Lorient vs Toulouse
Likeliest: Lorient win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Lorient47%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Toulouse26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lorient
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Nov 2 · at Lens (A)0-3
- Oct 29 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-1
- Oct 26 · at Angers SCO (A)0-2
- Oct 19 · v Brest (H)3-3
- Oct 3 · at Paris (A)0-2
Toulouse
WinWinLossDrawDraw
- Nov 2 · v Le Havre (H)0-0
- Oct 29 · v Rennes (H)2-2
- Oct 25 · at Monaco (A)0-1
- Oct 19 · v Metz (H)4-0
- Oct 5 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-2-1 | 3-1-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.